Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 6.222013 7.017159 7.888006 8.914662 10.094588 11.411326 12.996347
2024-12-29 5.273743 6.366982 7.659724 9.309714 11.371847 13.879749 17.184683
2025-01-05 4.506803 5.722195 7.243918 9.306624 12.056452 15.633662 20.700940
2025-01-12 3.936539 5.203258 6.863761 9.227525 12.550839 17.124185 24.011979
2025-01-19 3.345755 4.566193 6.225870 8.683808 12.292915 17.495608 25.743409
2025-01-26 3.055174 4.296169 6.042973 8.728694 12.839360 19.036612 29.365295
2025-02-02 2.885943 4.173302 6.044986 9.026678 13.774958 21.249680 34.330930
2025-02-09 2.708921 4.016604 5.973950 9.193952 14.510776 23.220439 39.171983
2025-02-16 2.543836 3.859114 5.881065 9.307596 15.159344 25.110231 44.137863
2025-02-23 2.396387 3.713439 5.789053 9.405809 15.782043 27.017165 49.408684
2025-03-02 2.192358 3.458677 5.496742 9.133222 15.721315 27.691222 52.422552
2025-03-09 2.055358 3.301164 5.348953 9.091154 16.060799 29.126765 57.143293
2025-03-16 1.916401 3.132629 5.173768 8.993154 16.305161 30.450283 61.940782
2025-03-23 1.869596 3.116987 5.259885 9.378419 17.514037 33.829045 71.761194
2025-03-30 1.765786 2.993209 5.143797 9.372121 17.951225 35.696713 78.539573
2025-04-06 1.661122 2.859378 4.997616 9.291662 18.225478 37.252430 84.865925
2025-04-13 1.502368 2.616165 4.631291 8.743537 17.463997 36.456219 85.313863
2025-04-20 1.435398 2.536646 4.564488 8.788735 17.969849 38.552856 93.446811
2025-04-27 1.404905 2.522572 4.620286 9.089028 19.066481 42.159411 106.262872
2025-05-04 1.360541 2.478616 4.614020 9.257605 19.886454 45.227280 118.262511
2025-05-11 1.313106 2.425140 4.584301 9.372138 20.594259 48.121934 130.396957
2025-05-18 1.267195 2.371294 4.549340 9.471119 21.276226 51.050926 143.287671
2025-05-25 1.187348 2.244480 4.355579 9.196400 21.017542 51.488822 148.586205